Robust lessons about practical early warning systems
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Robust Lessons about Practical Early Warning Systems
Early warning systems (EWSs) are subject to restrictions that apply to exchange rates in general: fundamentals matter but their influence is small and unstable. Despite this limitation four major lessons emerge: First, EWSs have robust forecasting power and thus help policy-makers to prevent crises. Second, policy-makers must decide about some EWSs' elements, such as the sensitivity of the fore...
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(1) The author gratefully acknowledges valuable comments from five reviewers, Keith Beven, Jim Hall, Irina Krasovskaia, Edmund Penning-Rowsell, and Bellie Sivakumar. They helped the author to improve and enrich the chapter. (2) The work on this chapter was carried out within the WATCH (Water and Global Change) Integrated Project of the European Union's 6th Framework Programme. Floods are an inc...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Policy Modeling
سال: 2006
ISSN: 0161-8938
DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2005.10.002